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Up | Seminar Schedule 2008 | Past Seminars 2008 | Past Seminars 2007 | Past Seminars 2006 | Past Seminars 2005 | Past Seminars 2003-4
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21 December 2005
Disaggregate
assessment of population exposure to aircraft noise
Dr Stephen
Greaves, Senior Lecturer in Transport Management, ITLS-Sydney
Abstract: The short and long-term
health impacts of the noxious by-products (noise, air pollution) of
transportation activities are a daily source of contention and debate.
Fundamental to this debate is assessing personal exposure or the overall
time of pollutant contact by humans and the severity of that contact.
Currently, this is difficult to gauge at little more than an
aggregate/population level, because we simply do not have the information on
either 1) the transportation activity or 2) location of people at the degree
of spatial and temporal specificity required. This seminar considers how we
might begin to tackle these dual issues from the perspective of assessing
exposure of Sydney residents to aircraft noise from Kingsford Smith airport.
The first issue is addressed using a newly available GIS database of
individual aircraft movements provided to us by DOTARS. The second issue is
tackled by adapting a procedure to ‘track’ the location of the population
over the day using time and location information from the Sydney Household
Travel Survey. Please note this is very much work in progress and will
mainly be a conceptual presentation of the issues and approaches with a view
to soliciting advice and feedback from the audience.
Bio: Stephen joined ITLS-Sydney as a
Senior Lecturer in Transport Management in early 2004. Prior to this
appointment, he worked for three years as a lecturer in transportation at
Monash University after completing his undergraduate studies at Leeds
University in England and his PhD at Louisiana State University in the
United States. Stephen has teaching experience at both the undergraduate and
postgraduate levels, covering statistical methods in traffic and
transportation, transportation planning models, traffic engineering and
control systems, highway design, and road safety. In addition, he will be
involved in the development and delivery of targeted industry-based
educational programs and short courses at ITLS-Sydney. Stephen has
experience in both traditional face-to-face teaching as well as with
web-based flexible delivery programs. He has also recently gained a formal
university teaching qualification, the internationally-accredited Graduate
Certificate in Higher Education, which is demonstration of commitment to
quality teaching. Stephen’s current research areas include the use of GPS
technology in the evaluation of driver behaviour modification programs,
measuring and assessing the health impacts of travel choices, and simulating
travel data as a low-cost alternative to conducting large-scale travel
surveys. He has demonstrated success in attracting competitive and
industry-based support for these programs and has published articles in a
variety of mediums including refereed journals, refereed conference articles
and book chapters |
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22 November 2005
Route switching behavior
on freeways with the provision of different types of real-time traffic
information
Professor
Jou Rong-Chang,
Department of Civil Engineering, National Chi Nan University, Taiwan
Abstract: This study investigates route switching behaviour on freeways
in reaction to the provision of different types of real-time traffic
information. The experimental design of the stated preference survey is
based on four types of real-time information provided to travellers who were
randomly selected at rest areas. The four types of real-time information
defined in this paper are qualitative, quantitative, qualitative guidance,
and quantitative guidance. The bounded rationality framework, also known as
indifference band approach, is applied to model the freeway route switching
behaviour. Two important variables, travel time and travel cost, are
included in the indifference band. In this study, the best route switching
rule, travellers’ current routes as compared to the best route, is
investigated to further provide valuable insights into freeways travellers’
route switching behaviour with the provision of different types of real-time
traffic information.
Bio:
Jou
Rong-Chang is Professor of Department of Civil Engineering,
National ChiNan International University, Taiwan. Professor Jou received his
PhD from the University of Texas, Austin, USA in 1993. He has been member of
the Editorial Advisory Board of Transportation Research A (1996-present),
and a reviewer for many major transportation journals and major conferences
(TRB annual conference, EAST, IATBR, ISTTT,g42u etc.). Professor Jou
has over 10 years experience in travel behavior modeling (commuter behavior,
effects of real time traffic information), transportation systems and demand
management (road pricing, vehicle ownership, HOV lane), and related areas.
He has published more than 30 papers in refereed journals (including papers
in Chinese), including the refereed publications in Transportation Research
A, B, Transportation Research Record, Journal of Advance Transportation,
Transportation, various conference and symposia proceedings, and bound
technical research reports. Professor Jou also visited other universities as
a visiting professor, such as Kyoto University, Japan (2001-2002) and NTU
University, Singapore (2004-2005). |
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15 November 2005
French segregation: evidence and analysis
Dominique Bouf, ITLS Visiting Professor, Transportation Economics
Laboratory, Lyons, France
First some evidence will be provided that
French cities are segregated. Then a general framework will be proposed to
explain how segregation can result of free location of households, without
any discrimination. One core hypothesis is that the French public housing
policy might be one of the reasons for the rise of segregation. Then some
evidence will be presented on the consequences of this segregation on access
to jobs. The presentation will make some use of a paper presented at the
North RSAI in Nov 2003.
Abstract: The intuition of this paper
is that income segregation can be obtained trough the provision of low rent
subsidized housing. : Social dwellings build in low access area. This might
lead to poor access to jobs, and thus longer commutes. An empirical test of
this theoretical framework is carried out on commuting time for workers
living in public housing in the Paris metropolitan area. Among the working
class, households living in housing projects tend to have longer commuting
time. Then, a test is carried out on the accessibility to various job
centres in the Parisian area. Public housing workers have poorer access to
service and industry job centres but surprisingly better access to high
technology job centres.
Bio: Dominique Bouf is Senior
Researcher (CNRS) at the LET (Transportation Economics Laboratory) located
in Lyons, France. Prior to joining the LET he worked for the Dutch Ministry
of Transportation and for the RATP (Parisian Urban Transportation Company).
He lived for two years in Africa and carried out several research projects
on African transportation issues. More recently he addressed the problems of
railways regulation through studies for the French Government, SNCF (the
French railways operator), the European Commission (as the leader of the
LET’s participation to the project Improverail), and the OECD, providing a
report on yardstick competition. He is working in co-operation with the
University of Tongji (Shanghai) on China’s railways reform and is
responsible for a research project on the long term prospects for Chinese
transportation (China in 2050). Dominique’s main research interests are;
Chinese transportation, performance measurement and regulation of transport
companies (especially railways), particularly possible implementation of
yardstick competition.
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8 November
2005
The
changing role of the seaport in the global supply chain
Simon Barney, General Manager Commerce and Logistics, Sydney Ports Corporation
Abstract: A practical discussion based
on the global movement of containers but focused on the experiences in
Sydney. An exploration of the complex inter-relationships between supply
chains (primary commodity through to retail), service providers, Government
intervention (e.g., Customs) and infrastructure provision. After many year
sof planning and a two year assessment process Sydney has recently received
approval to expand port facilities at Port Botany. In addition the port is
driving change in landside logistics with a focus on the use of rail for the
movement of cargo to/from the port.
Bio: Simon joined Sydney Ports in 1999
at the same time as the corporation realigned its business activities and
put a greater emphasis on the landside accessibility of the port. His key
responsibilities are trade development, logistics, property management, and
e-commerce. Sydney’s position as Australia’s number one import port is
dependent on the ability to move cargo efficiently from the port to its
destination and the port is promoting various initiatives to improve this
process. Similarly, the promotion of export cargo is key to reducing the
overall cost of port operations. To this end the port is working with all
stakeholders in the logistics chain including stevedores, rail operators,
the road haulage industry, importers, exporters and the forwarding
community. The port has a property portfolio of over 300 hectares in three
separate areas of Sydney: Sydney Harbour, Port Botany, and Enfield (inland
location for proposed intermodal terminal). Sydney Ports actively works with
tenants to promote port operations that improve the supply chain. Before
joining Sydney Ports, Simon worked with P&O for nine years. This included
three years in port operations in the UK and Australia and more than four
years as Operations Manager for Western Europe for P&O Containers based in
Rotterdam with direct responsibility for all landside operations including
train management, road transport, inland container depots and systems
development. Simon holds a BA (Hons) from Durham University in the UK, and a
MA (Management) from the Macquarie Graduate School of Management in Sydney. |
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1 November 2005
Measuring the impact of urban sprawl on household vehicle usage and fuel
consumption
Professor Tom Golob,
ITLS Visiting Professor,
Institute of Transportation Studies, University of California, Irvine
Presentation
Abstract: This research is aimed at
providing quantitative evidence in the debate concerning impacts of urban
land use density on travel. A 2001 USA national travel survey includes land
use variables, yearly odometer readings, and annual fuel usage computations
based on the make, model and vintage of all household vehicles. A model
system was developed to obtain unbiased estimates by accounting for both
residential self-selection effects and missing data related to the
endogenous variables. Results show that the residential density effects are
substantial. Comparing two USA households that are similar in all respects,
the household located in an area lower in density by 100 housing units per
square kilometer will drive about 675 kilometers per year further and will
use 62 more liters of fuel on all its vehicles. The fuel usage effect is
partially through lower fleet fuel economy, a result of vehicle type choice.
Bio: Tom Golob has been publishing
research on travel behaviour and traffic safety since 1970, first at General
Motors Research Labs, then as a consultant in the Netherlands, and for the
last twenty years at the University of California. Enough is enough, and Tom
is planning on retiring in 2006. As the University of Sydney has been a
favourite haunt of Tom’s, the farewell tour starts here. So long and thanks
for all the data. |
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25 October 2005
Promoting safe walking and
cycling to improve public health: Lessons from Europe
Professor John Pucher,
ITLS Visiting Professor, Rutgers
University
Abstract:
Urban transport has important public health impacts that should be
key determinants of transport policies. The three main public health
concerns are traffic safety, environmental quality, and physical exercise.
In every respect, walking and cycling are ideal means of transport, with the
potential to make urban transport safer and less polluting while generating
valuable cardiovascular exercise for travellers on a regular basis, simply
as part of their everyday routines to reach practical destinations. Prof.
Pucher presents six broad categories of policies that would promote more
walking and cycling while also making them safer, more convenient, and more
feasible means of travel in our cities:
1. Better and more extensive facilities for
walking and cycling
2. Traffic calming of residential
neighbourhoods
3. More restrictions on car use and parking
4. Enforcement of traffic regulations designed
to protect cyclists and pedestrians
5. Traffic education of cyclists and
pedestrians as well as motorists
6. Compact, mix-use urban development that
shortens trip distances to necessary destinations, thus making walk and bike
trips more feasible
The enormous potential public health benefits
of increased walking and cycling should provide a strong basis of public and
political support for the public policies needed to make more walking and
cycling possible. Every city, every neighbourhood, and every individual
would benefit from such policies, both directly and indirectly. A concerted
public information campaign is needed to convey the nature and extent of
individual and societal-wide benefits of increased walking and cycling.
Bio:
JOHN PUCHER is a professor in the
Bloustein School of Planning and Public Policy at Rutgers University (New
Brunswick, New Jersey). Since earning a PhD at the Massachusetts Institute
of Technology in 1978, Pucher has conducted research on a wide range of
topics in transport economics and finance, including numerous projects for
the U.S. Department of Transportation, the Canadian government, and various
European ministries of transport. For over two decades, he has examined
differences in travel behavior, transport systems, and transport policies in
Europe, Canada, and the USA. Currently, Pucher's research focuses on walking
and bicycling, and in particular, how American cities could learn from
European policies to improve the safety, convenience, and feasibility of
these non-motorized modes in the United States. Most recently, he has
focused on the need for Americans to increase their walking and cycling for
daily transportation as the best way to ensure adequate levels of physical
exercise and enhance overall public health. From 2005 to 2006, Pucher will
be a visiting professor at the University of Sydney's Institute of Transport
Studies directing a research project that examines differences between
Canada, Australia, and the USA in their travel behavior, transport systems
and policies, and the impacts of transport on public health.
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18 October 2005
Modelling the impact of Activity-Routing types on urban truck flows
Dr
Miguel Figliozzi,
Lecturer in Logistics Management, ITLS-Sydney
Abstract:
Major developments in technology and supply chain practice are
considerably changing the distribution logistics context. Due to its
aggregate approach, traditional urban freight models cannot fully explain
how technical or supply chain changes will affect urban freight flows. This
seminar will explore how an analytical model can be used to model urban
distributions using a one-to-many distribution structure (e.g., one
distribution centre and several retailers) and disaggregating activities
according to their routing properties. Results to date indicate that the
effects of technological, supply chain, cost, or policy changes on urban
freight flows may significantly differ across different activity-routing
types
Bio: Miguel Andres
Figliozzi joined ITLS-Sydney as a Lecturer in Logistics in 2004. He has a
Masters in Transportation from The University of Texas at Austin and a
PhD from the University of Maryland. Miguel’s work experience includes
work on electronic marketplaces for transportation, auctions, vehicle
routing problems, international trade impacts on freight systems, ports
and container movements, and highway planning. Miguel’s research
areas are transportation logistics and supply chain management. His
current interests are focused on these studies from a strategic
perspective, which includes interaction between technology, information,
and behaviour. Additional areas include, fleet management problems, port
operation and ship scheduling, vendor management/inventory routing
problems, pricing and auctions, and online problem in logistics.
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11 October 2005
Public
transport in Austria and Germany - Some examples
Professor Peter Stopher,
Professor of Transport Planning, ITLS-Sydney
Presentation
Abstract: In Europe, public transport
often seems to work much better than it does in Australia or North America.
From a recent visit made to Europe, some examples are provided to show
aspects of the integrated systems especially in Vienna and Karlsruhe. These
examples show some of the ingredients that make a public transport system
successful, and provide some useful lessons for what may need to be done in
Australia to make public transport more successful. Public transport in
Vienna is able to attract about 34 percent of daily trips and is growing in
market share. In Karlsruhe, market share, while at only 18 percent
currently, is also growing currently. The Karlsruhe system is also much more
recent than that in Vienna. Brief snapshots are also provided of a few other
mid-European cities.
Bio:
A
specialist in travel-demand forecasting, travel behaviour research,
transport survey methods, and transport and environment issues, Peter has
more than 35 years of professional experience as a university teacher and as
a professional in transport planning, and has published more than 175 papers
in leading international journals and has also published a number of books
in transport-related topics. Peter recently published a co-edited book on
Transport Survey Quality and Innovation and is working on a new edition of
his 1975 book on Urban Transportation Planning and Modelling. He has made
major contributions to the profession as a founding member of the TRB
Committee on Traveler Behavior and Values, of which he has been awarded
Emeritus Membership, and also founded the TRB Committee on Survey Methods.
He is a Fellow of both the Institute of Engineers Australia, and the
American Society of Civil Engineers.
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4 October 2005
Market segmentation as a tool
for improving the planning and delivery of public transport services:
Lessons from the US
Professor Alan
Hoffman, Principal, The Mission Group
Presentation
Abstract: Public transport services are
often designed without explicit input from market research, raising
questions in the literature on whether investments in infrastructure and
services could be more productive if informed by a considered market
strategy. Among the more powerful tools used in market research is
segmentation, the grouping of people by some common characteristic for the
purpose of targeting the design or promotion of services. This seminar will
review two market segmentation exercises undertaken in the United States (in
San Diego and Atlanta) during the past five years with the purpose of
devising more robust public transport strategic plans. Each employed a
different approach to market segmentation, and had a different impact on the
planning of future services. Each of these approaches will be discussed and
their strengths and weaknesses considered.
Bio: Alan Hoffman is principal of
The
Mission Group, a planning firm based in San Diego, California, specializing
in innovative strategies for transportation and urban development. A noted
expert in transit market research, he has contributed to long-range planning
in cities around the world and serves as a frequent workshop speaker to the
U.S. National Transit Institute on Bus Rapid Transit and Land Use
integration. A cum laude graduate of Cornell University, he holds a Master’s
in Urban Studies and Planning from MIT and a Master’s in Administration,
Planning, and Social Policy from Harvard University. |
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13 September
2005
Floating Vehicle Data (FVD)
and Cellular Floating Vehicle Data (CFVD) traffic information services
David Quayle, Founder and
Managing Director, Traffic Intelligence
Presentation
| Video
Abstract: Whilst reliable high quality
real time traffic information is taken for granted in Europe and
increasingly in the US, no provider currently exists in Australia. Whilst
some of the state road authorities use e-tag and SCATS/STREAMS data to
generate traffic info for highway Variable Message Signs, this information
is infrequently updated and no single body is providing a national real time
service. Traffic Intelligence intends to address this shortfall by
implementing technology developed by a UK company, ITIS Holdings PLC. ITIS
generate traffic information through the aggregation of both GPS tracked
vehicles (Floating Vehicle Data – FVD) and passive monitoring of mobile
phone cellular networks (Cellular Floating Vehicle Data – CFVD). ITIS
operate the worlds largest FVD system and currently 4 CFVD systems in
Europe, Middle east and the US.
Bio: David is the founder and Managing
Director of Traffic Intelligence, the Australian technology licence holder
for a number of telematics products and services, including ITIS Holdings
traffic information collection and delivery systems. Traffic Intelligence
was formed by David Quayle to exploit the current lack of provision of
quality road traffic information for commercial services in Australia. Priot
to Founding Traffic Intelligence, David was a leading independent telematics
consultant, working in the field of telematics strategy implementation.
Prior to moving to Australia, David was responsible for managing and
developing telematics markets within Europe on behalf of Visteon, a major
automotive components manufacturer. David is a qualified Civil Engineer and
has an MBA from Henley Management College in England. |
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16 August 2005
Metro plan and transportation
Professor Edward Blakely,
Professor of Urban Planning, University of Sydney
Presentation
Abstract:
The key assumption of the new metropolitan plan is that new growth
will be in transportation corridors and near existing transport nodes. This
will mean higher densities along major corridors served by rail and bus and
require upgrading of existing systems. But the critical ingredient of the
plan is to focus jobs, entertainment and other trip generating growth in
central nodes to reduce trips of all kinds. This is a challenging task for
both new Greenfield sites as well as established areas. It is an open
question as to whether this ambitious goal can or should be achieved.
Bio:
Professor Blakely has a long and distinguished
background in Urban and Regional Planning and an international reputation in
the fields of Urban and Regional Economic Development. Before his Sydney
appointment of Professor of Urban and Regional Planning, Professor Blakely
was Dean of the Robert J. Milano Graduate School at the New School
University in New York. He was also Dean of Urban Planning at the University
of Southern California in New York. For the last 22 years, has been on the
Faculty and Chair of Urban Planning at the University of California at
Berkeley. Professor Blakely is an author of 8 well known books and has
received numerous international awards for strategic planning.
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7 June 2005
New Approaches to Describing and Assessing Aircraft Noise
David Southgate, Department of Transport and Regional Services
Presentation
Abstract:
Over the past decade there
has been a revolution in the techniques used in Australia for describing and
assessing aircraft noise. This re-examination of conventional practice was
triggered by the extremely angry public reaction to the opening of third
runway at Sydney Airport in the mid 1990s. Change has also occurred as a
result of broad public demands for greater transparency in Environmental
Impact Assessments and has been facilitated by rapid advances in computing
power in recent years. The seminar will discuss the new directions and
demonstrate the software which has been developed by DOTARS to implement the
new concepts.
Bio Dave is head of
the Aviation Environment Policy Section in the Australian Government
Department of Transport and Regional Services (DOTARS). In recent years his
group has focussed its work on trying to find ways to improve communications
between experts and the layperson on aircraft noise issues. One of the key
products of this work has been a software package which enables non‑experts
to gain access to aircraft noise information that is conventionally hidden.
Dave has worked as an environmental noise specialist in
Australian Government Departments for approximately 25 years and has a
science/engineering background. He holds degrees from the Universities of
Liverpool, London and Tasmania. |
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24 May 2005
Whither urban transport? Some reflections on the outlook for Sydney’s
transport system and for systems in other world cities.
John Stott,
Chair, TAC Integrated Ticketing
Project, NSW Ministry of Transport
Abstract:
The size of a city is limited by its
occupants’ ability to get themselves and their goods where they need to go,
in reasonable time. Sydney has evolved from a compact form in the first half
of the 20th century, to a vast urban sprawl today. This has been
fuelled by cheap land, cheap cars and trucks, and cheap energy. But the
party is coming to an end. Continued low density expansion is not available
- for environmental and energy supply reasons, and because of the economic
effects of congestion. This presentation will look at some of the challenges
that confront us and ask whether they can be met by leaving things to
traditional mechanisms, or whether a more interventionist approach is
necessary.
Bio:
John Stott has had a lengthy
career in transport management in all modes: road, rail, marine and
aviation. From 1996 to 2004, he headed the NSW State Transit Authority,
which operated Sydney’s buses and ferries and, in 2000, was instrumental in
the “rescue” of the bus transport arrangements for the Sydney Olympics. He
also managed STA’s takeover of a major private sector bus operator,
controversial at the time but since proven to be a highly successful
initiative. Since mid-2004, he has been Executive Chairman of the agency
which is developing a smart-card ticketing system to cover all of Sydney’s
rail, bus and ferry operators. He is also assisting with the preparation of
a transport strategy for metropolitan Sydney. John chairs the Australia-New
Zealand chapter of UITP, the International Public Transport Association, and
is a member of its international policy committee. He has presented
nationally and internationally on a wide range of transport issues. In
1999, he was awarded the Australian Public Service Medal for his work in
improving accessibility of transport for people with disabilities. |
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17 May 2005
Sydney Airport Master Plan and associated
passenger and freight
forecasting and environmental impact assessments
Joseph
Chan,
Land Use and
Capex Planner,
Planning and
Development,
Sydney Airport Corporation
Limited
Sydney Airport Master Plan
Please click here to contact Joseph
for further details
Abstract:
Sydney Airport was
privatised in 2002, and has since completed a Master Plan in 2004 and an
Environmental Plan in 2005. Sydney Airport is administered in accordance
with the Commonwealth Airports Act 1996. Sydney Airport is Australia’s
pre-eminent airport gateway, in Australia’s business and tourist hub,
generating half of all international and one third of all domestic
passengers movements, and half of all airfreight and airmail. The economic
impact of Sydney Airport is equivalent to 6% of NSW GSP and 2% of GDP, and
provides over 60,000 direct jobs and 100,000 indirect jobs, over 8% of
Sydney’s labour force. Sydney Airport’s capacity will grow at it grows with
the metropolis and the nation. According to the 20 year Master Plan,
passenger numbers will triple to 68 million, but aircraft movements will
less than double. In this time, Sydney’s population will increase to 5
million. As Sydney continues to consolidate, so too will the Airport
continue to develop as a vibrant multi-transport transport hub. The seminar
will provide a background on Sydney Airport, having regard to the Approved
Airport Master Plan, the Environment Strategy, the economic contribution,
outline key tasks and facts in forecasting growth in aviation activities,
and highlight land use and transport issues.
Bio:
Joseph Chan is Land Use
Planner at Sydney Airport. With a background in urban and regional planning,
recent and ongoing work included developing and managing the land use
assessment framework, and managing key external planning relationships with
local, state and federal agencies. As part the Sydney Airport Master Plan
team, he was responsible with managing key aspects of the infrastructure,
ground access and strategic land use management areas, strategic work which
continues unabated to this day.
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3 May 2005
Tracking and
modelling
human
activity-travel
scheduling
decision
processes
Professor
Sean Doherty,
ITLS Visiting Professor, Department of Geography and Environmental
Studies, Wilfred Laurier University
Abstract:
The development of simulation models of
activity scheduling behaviour has gained momentum over the past decade as a
means to forecast travel demands, especially with respect to the impacts of
emerging travel demand management policies. Such models inherently
recognize that travel is a derived demand * from the need to participate in
activities outside the home * and these activity demands in turn, are the
result of a dynamic process of activity scheduling that occurs over time,
space and across individuals. This presentation will focus on new data
collection and modeling methods for simulating the activity-travel
scheduling process. At this early stage in our understanding it is
important to experiment on a small scale with data collection techniques
that go beyond the observed patterns typically captured by traditional
travel diaries. This presentation will examine several methodologies,
including computerized activity scheduling surveys, interactive
stated-adaptation surveys, and a recent application of GPS to the automatic
detection of scheduling decisions (not just detection of routes and
stops!). Time permitting, the usage of such data to develop rules for
emerging activity scheduling simulation models will also be presented.
Bio:
Sean Doherty is an
Associate Professor in the Department of Geography and Environmental Studies
at Wilfrid Laurier University (Canada), and is currently a Visiting
Professor in the Institute of Transport and Logistics Studies at the
University of Sydney. He received his PhD in Civil Engineering from the
University of Toronto in 1998, and has a masters degrees in Geography. His
interests are in activity-based travel demand modelling, household activity
scheduling behaviour, integrated land-use and transportation models, energy
efficiency, computerized survey methods, and use of Global Positioning
Systems (GPS) for tracking human behaviour. His current research projects
include a Canadian federally funded geomatics project on "Multi-Agent
Geo-Simulation", and a UK project focusing on "Optimising Personal
Logistics". Dr Doherty's international activities include chairing a US
Transportation Research Board subcommittee on "Behavioural Processes", and
serving on the board of the International Association of Travel Behaviour
Research. |
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26 April 2005
Transforming the
supply chain into a demand chain
Professor
Martin Christopher, Professor of Marketing and Logistics, Cranfield School of
Management
Presentation
Abstract:
Supply chain management is
now widely recognised as a strategic management concern. However, supply
chains in many organisations have tended to evolve organically rather than
be designed to support a carefully defined strategic intent. Indeed it can
be argued that traditional supply chains are 'production-oriented' meaning
that they tend to be designed from the factory outwards than from the
'customer backwards'. There is an emerging view
that suggests that because the business will more than likely be servicing
multiple markets and segments, it will need to create multiple demand
fulfilment processes. These processes might be termed 'demand chains'.
This seminar will examine the fundamental business transformations that may
be necessary to convert supply chains into demand chains.
Bio: Martin Christopher is Professor of
Marketing and Logistics at Cranfield School of Management. His work in the
field of logistics and supply chain management has gained international
recognition. He has published widely and his recent books include Logistics
and Supply Chain Management and Marketing Logistics. Martin Christopher is
also co-editor of the International Journal of Logistics Management and is a
regular contributor to conferences and workshops around the world. At
Cranfield, Martin Christopher directs the Centre for Logistics and Supply
Chain Management, the largest activity of its type in Europe. The work of
the centre covers all aspects of transportation and logistics and offers
both full-time and part-time Masters degree courses as well as extensive
management development programmes. Research plays a key role in the work of
the Centre and contributes to its international standing. In addition to
leading a number of on-going research projects in logistics and supply chain
management, Martin Christopher is active as an advisor to many organisations
and is non-executive director of a number of companies. Martin Christopher
is an Emeritus Fellow of the Institute of Logistics and Transport on whose
Council he sits. In 1988 he was awarded the Sir Robert Lawrence Gold Medal
for his contribution to logistics education and in 1997 was given the USA
Council of Logistics Management's Foundation Award.
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19 April 2005
Road user
charging: Where to next?
Professor David Hensher,
Director, ITLS-Sydney
Presentation
available July 2005
Abstract:
Charging users of the roads for
the costs they impose on the system is not new. Economists have been
promoting its virtues for as long as arguments about economic efficiency
have been in print. What is different today is that a growing number (but by
no means all) of decision makers are showing a greater interest and
commitment to finding ways to improve the efficiency of the road system, be
it through infrastructure expansion and/or other means. Of special interest
has been the growing level of traffic congestion and a feeling of almost
helplessness, that we seem to have failed in finding a way forward to
maintain traffic congestion at levels that are acceptable to the public and
are consistent with principles of good economic practice. The literature
abounds with suggestions on how this might be achieved, focused primarily on
various pricing regimes that say as much as about levels of charges as they
do about the role of the revenue raised, the latter as controversial as the
former. The current state of technology provides a capability to introduce
sophisticated charging mechanisms. We are at a stage in the evolution of
'solutions' to dealing with inefficient road use and provision of road funds
that offers real prospects of delivering outcomes that can align with
political, social and user demands and expectations. This presentation
provides a global update on the road to efficiency.
Bio:
David Hensher is Professor of
Management, and Director of the Institute of Transport and Logistics Studies: The
Australian Key Centre of Teaching and Research in Transport Management in
The Faculty of Economics and Business at The University of Sydney as well as
in the Department of Civil Engineering at Monash University. David is also
Associate Dean (Graduate Coursework Programs) in Faculty of Economics and
Business. David is a Fellow of the Academy of Social Science in Australia,
Past President of the International Association of Travel Behaviour Research
and a previous Vice-Chair of the International Scientific Committee of the
World Conference of Transport Research. David is on the editorial boards of
10 of the leading transport journals and Area Editor of Transport Reviews.
David was appointed in 1999 by one of the world's most prestigious academic
publishing houses - Elsevier/Pergamon press as series and volume editor of a
handbook series "Handbooks in Transport".
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15 April 2005
The spiral-down effect
in airline demand management
Professor Anton Kleywegt, School of Industrial and Systems Engineering,
Georgia Institute of Technology
Abstract: The spiral-down effect occurs when incorrect assumptions about
customer behaviour cause high fare ticket sales, protection levels, and
revenues to gradually decrease over time. If an airline decides how many
seats to protect for sale as high-fare tickets based upon past high-fare
sales, while neglecting to account for the fact that availability of
low-fare tickets will reduce high-fare sales, then high-fare sales will
decrease, resulting in lower future estimates of high-fare demand, and
subsequently lower protection levels for high-fare tickets and greater
availability of low-fare tickets. The pattern continues, resulting in a
so-called spiral down. We develop a mathematical framework to analyse the
iterative process by which airlines forecast and optimize booking controls
over a sequence of flight instances. Within the framework, we
describe conditions under which spiral down does occur.
Bio: Anton Kleywegt is an Associate
Professor at the School of Industrial and Systems Engineering, Georgia
Institute of Technology. Anton has taught and published extensively about
Logistics, Transportation, and Distribution systems. His research interests
include: Optimization and Stochastic Modeling applied to Transportation,
Distribution and Logistics problems, especially in the following areas:
Vehicle Routing and Scheduling, Distribution Operations, Distribution
Network Design, Yield Management, Terminal Design and Operations, Logistics
Planning and Control, Multimodal Transportation, Intelligent Transportation
Systems. |
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5 April 2005
Demographic change and patterns in travel behaviour
Tim
Raimond,
Director, Transport Data Centre,
Department of Infrastructure, Planning & Natural Resources
Presentation
Abstract:
The talk will discuss the use of
demographic and travel data and modelling to support strategic transport and
land use planning in NSW. The presentation will include much useful
information on demographic change, travel behaviour and travel model outputs
to illustrate the role of data and modelling in the decision-making process.
Bio:
Tim
Raimond is Director of the Transport and Population Data Centre in the
Department of Infrastructure, Planning and Natural Resources. He holds a
Master of Transport Management from ITLS and a BSc in Applied Economic
Geography from UNSW. Tim has held various roles in the design, collection,
analysis and management of data collections and model development. In the
1990s he worked for four years at ITLS-Sydney, then for the NSW Department
of Transport and most recently for the DIPNR for which he has been Director
of the Transport and Population Data Centre for the last three years.
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29 March 2005
Constructing efficient designs for stated choice experiments
Professor Michiel Bliemer,
ITLS-Sydney Visiting Professor, Delft University of Technology
Abstract:
Stated choice experiments represent a popular tool within many disciplines
(e.g., economics, marketing, transport, health, etc.) to elicit information
on the behaviour and preferences of individuals. Typically underlying such
experiments are what are called experimental designs, which are used as an
aid in the construction of stated choice surveys. Specifically, a design
determines the attribute levels shown to respondents in questionnaires, and
therefore directly linked to the questionnaire outcomes from which
parameters of the utility (preference) functions are estimated. Until
relatively recently, many researchers have relied upon the use of orthogonal
designs, however, a better understanding of the modelling undertaken after
data collection has resulted in a shift towards the use of so-called
D-optimal designs. These designs use prior information on parameter
estimates to construct statistically more efficient designs. To date,
D-optimal designs have been applied within the literature to models with
generic parameters. In this seminar, we will explain how to construct
D-optimal designs, but also show how the theory can be extended towards more
complex model types. Finally, some numerical outcomes are shown to
illustrate how designs may be further optimised and we present some findings
on sample size requirements.
Bio: Michiel
Bliemer is currently Assistant Professor Transportation Modelling at Delft
University of Technology (DUT) in The Netherlands. Michiel lectures the
Transportation & Spatial Modelling course and the Transport Economics course
in Delft. After his Masters degree in Econometrics and receiving his PhD in
transportation planning and traffic engineering 3 years ago, he continued
his main research on dynamic network modeling at DUT and TNO (the largest
not-for-profit research institute in The Netherlands), leading to an
operational analytical multiclass dynamic traffic assignment model called
INDY. Furthermore, he is project leader of a project on dynamic road pricing
in The Netherlands. Other research interests are dynamic queuing models,
game theory, traffic simulation models, discrete choice theory, travel
behaviour of heterogenous travellers with uncertainty.
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15 March 2005
Reinventing the
private car - Changing personal mobility in the 21st century
Bruce Jeffreys, Co-Founder, Newtown CarShare
Abstract: Our cities need new mobility
systems that are integrated, clean, smart, and customer-oriented. With the
race on to find viable alternatives to the private motor car one mobility
trend which has rapidly gained ground worldwide is the introduction of
professional car sharing services. A car sharing service provides members
with reliable and convenient access to cars on demand, in a network of
locations across the city. With the integration of web-based technologies,
car sharing now has tens of thousands of members across North America,
Europe and parts of Asia swapping private car ownership for access to a
mixed fleet of motor vehicles. With a service already running successfully
in Inner-west Sydney - what is the potential for this innovative new
transport service for Australian cities?
Bio:
Following a Bachelor of Economics (Murdoch University) and involvement with
the Masters program at Murdoch University’s Institute for Sustainable
Transport Policy , Bruce has gained extensive experience in both the private
and government sectors in the sustainable transport field. He has recently
been an integral part of the NSW State Government’s Sustainability Unit,
based within the NSW Department of Infrastructure, Planning and Natural
Resources. As a senior policy officer he has written numerous briefing
papers, reports and feasibility studies into the application of car sharing
to the urban environment in Australia and has been involved in various
aspects of the Department’s sustainable transport policy initiatives. He
co-founded and is a Director of Australia's first and only car sharing
service, Newtown CarShare, which is set to go national in February as the
GoGet Australia service.
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1 March 2005
Highway Robbery? A financial analysis of
design build finance
and
operate in roads in the UK
Professor Jean Shaoul, Professor of Public Accountability, University of
Manchester
Presentation |
Paper
Abstract: This
seminar will examine empirically the financial
outcomes of using private finance in roads under the UK government’s Private
Finance Initiative (PFI) known as Design Build Finance and Operate (DBFO).
It refutes the government’s claim that private finance
would lever in additional finance that it could not afford since in the
three years for which information was available, the Highways Agency paid
out more than the £590m construction cost of the projects.
It questions the claims of
greater VFM over the life of the contracts than conventional procurement
because: (i) the payment mechanism, based on the volume of traffic which has
been rising, introduces additional costs for the public sector; (ii) DBFO
seems to have been more costly than expected, thereby eroding the expected
and very marginal cost advantage of DBFO; and (iii) the high cost of risk
transfer.
Bio:
Jean Shaoul is a professor in the Division of Accounting and
Finance at Manchester Business School where she focuses on public
accountability in the context of business and public policy. She has written
widely on privatisation, particularly water and rail, the use of private
finance in public infrastructure under the UK government’s Private Finance
Initiative and Public Private Partnerships – a policy that is being adopted
around the world - transport (rail, roads and London Underground PPP) and
health finance policy, and public expenditure. Her analyses are based
on financial information derived from company accounts and other grey
literature to evaluate public policy decisions from a public interest and/or
social distribution perspective. |
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22 February 2005
Risk compensation and the
management of road safety
Professor John Adams, Professor
of Geography, University College London
Presentation
Bio:
Professor John Adams was a member of the original Board of
Directors of Friends of the Earth in the early 1970s and has been involved
in public debates about environmental issues ever since. He has presented
evidence to numerous public inquiries and parliamentary committees on
forecasting, traffic modelling, cost-benefit analysis and risk assessment,
and is a regular contributor to radio and television programmes and
broadsheet newspapers on transport and risk themes. John is intrigued by the
persistence of attitudes to environmental risks. He says that since his
involvement with Friends of the Earth almost 30 years ago, the same
arguments, slogans and insults have been shouted past each other by the
participants (or their descendants) in debates about the environment. His
current work on both risk and transport issues seeks to understand these
attitudes and the reasons for their persistence, in the hope of transforming
shouting matches into more constructive dialogues.
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15 February 2005
Countervailing
influences of vehicle-based emissions and pervasive mobile wireless ICT on
economic sustainability of transport
Christopher Skinner, Principal, DISplay Pty Ltd
Presentation
Abstract: This
seminar considers the implications of the convergence of two fundamental
influences on transport and logistics planning and operations:
1. Energy
consumption and resulting emissions have significant impact on
sustainability and efficiency of all transport
2. Wireless
information and communications technology [ICT] is especially relevant for
transport information and control of systems and increasingly for the
benefit of travellers themselves.
When previous forecasts of
travel-to-work behaviour are examined neither of these two influences appear
to have been foreseen sufficiently. Current analysis should acknowledge a
similar risk of similar disruptive technological change affecting transport
and logistics in the future (rather than rely on predictions based on
current trends). The seminar will provide a summary of relevant ICT issues
to illustrate some of the implications that are apparent.
Bio: Chris Skinner works in Sydney as a project
systems and software engineering management consultant. He graduated from
London University with a bachelor’s degree in electrical engineering and
from University of New South Wales with a masters degree in software
engineering. He has extensive experience in general and project management
of large complex projects in defence, aerospace, telecommunications and most
recently in transportation. He is member of IEE, IEEE, Engineers Australia,
ACM and the Australian Computer Society. Since 2002 Chris has been Chair of
the National Intelligent Transport Systems Architecture Working Group of the
industry group ITLS Australia Inc.
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7 February 2005
Demographics,
transportation infrastructure and retail food distribution in the
Asia-Pacific region
Dr Walter J
Armbruster, President, Farm Foundation
Abstract: Demographic changes are impacting population
distribution and Asia-Pacific’s urban population soon will surpass itls rural
population. Many large urban areas are coastal and accessible for foreign
suppliers, but internal transportation links to major urban markets from
production areas are underdeveloped and the connections need to be
strengthened. Improved access to food production, storage, shipping,
packaging and processing technologies will spur growth in the economies
contributing to faster and more balanced economic growth across the region.
A proliferation of super markets is fast filling an economic need more
sophisticated distribution systems to provide low cost, safe food for the
growing urban populations across the region. This will require new
distribution centers, intermediaries to deal directly with farmers and new
services to lower transaction costs and provide more uniform, consistent
quality food in the urban setting. Policies may be needed to encourage a
modernization of the retail food sector, streamline domestic supply chains
by investing in transportation infrastructure and facilitating food imports
through adjustments in trade policy.
Bio: Dr Walter J. Armbruster is
president of Farm Foundation. Dr Armbruster works as a catalyst to improve the economic and
social well-being of U.S. agriculture, the food system and rural
communities, assisting private and public sector decision makers in
identifying and understanding forces that will shape the future. Armbruster
is president of the International Food and Agribusiness Management
Association, and is secretary-treasurer of the International Association of
Agricultural Economists. He previously served as president of the American
Agricultural Economics Association and of the American Agricultural Law
Association. Dr Armbruster is Fellow of the American Association for the
Advancement of Science; Fellow of the American Agricultural Economics
Association; and Distinguished Agricultural Alumni, Purdue University. |
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